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Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Monday

Monday, May 23, 2016

A storm just off the West Coast is producing a relatively dry southwest flow over our area from the desert southwest. There will still be a chance of light afternoon and early evening showers for today and Tuesday as numerous weak waves of energy travel over our area.

By Wednesday, the storm will be kicked eastward by another storm dropping south from the Gulf of Alaska, traveling across central Arizona and New Mexico by Thursday. This storm will be strong enough to bring a cool front through the area sometime on Thursday with an increasing chance of afternoon and evening showers.

As the storm moves east of the area by Friday, cool weather with stronger storms are likely in the northwest flow behind the storm during the afternoon and early evening, with showers starting as soon as noon.

Meanwhile, the kicker storm from the northwest is forecast to cross the Northwest Coast on Friday and spin over Idaho on Saturday and Sunday, keeping the cool and unsettled weather around for most the weekend.

There is uncertainty for later Sunday and Memorial Day as the ECMWF splits the the Idaho storm earlier than the GFS, with the northern stream moving just north of our area on Sunday while the GFS is about a day later. Currently, it appears that most of the weather will be north and east of our area when the storm moves past.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Friday

Friday, May 20, 2016

Another large storm, currently in Oregon, will move south along the West Coast through Saturday, keeping warm and relatively dry air over our area with breezy to windy southwest winds for Saturday.

The storm will first move eastward into the Great Basin tomorrow before lifting to the northeast through Idaho on Sunday, brushing our area with a cold front with gusty winds Sunday afternoon. Models keep the airmass relatively dry, and have trended any Sunday afternoon storm weaker, or even non-existent in some models.

Following quickly on Monday, another Pacific storm approaches the northwest coast, allowing cool air from western Canada to spread over the western third of the US. The storm is further off the coast than the previous storm and allows some dry air from the southwest to be transported over Colorado for Monday and Tuesday, and possibly Wednesday. There will still be a chance of afternoon storms for each day, though, as numerous waves of energy travel over our area.

After traveling south along the West Coast on Monday, this storm is forecast to turn eastward around midweek and travel across southern Arizona and New Mexico, bringing increasing chances of cool and mostly showery weather for Thursday and Friday.

If you’ve made it this far, I am traveling this upcoming week and will likely be unable to publish forecasts prepared on Saturday, May 21 and Sunday, May 29. Also, the daily forecast might become more periodic next week, likely being refreshed every second or third day.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Thursday

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Afternoon showers should decrease in intensity for Friday compared to the last few days as the airmass dries and significantly warms ahead of another large storm approaching the Pacific Northwest around Friday. This storm is forecast to move south along the West Coast through Saturday, keeping warm and relatively dry air over our area with breezy to windy southwest winds for the first part of the weekend.

By Sunday, the West Coast storm is forecast to be moving eastward through the Great Basin. Model trends have reverted towards the solution from a couple of days ago, with the bulk of the storm skirting to our northwest, but still close enough to still bring a cold front with gusty winds and showers through the area around Sunday afternoon.

Following quickly on Monday, another Pacific storm approaches the northwest coast, allowing cool air from western Canada to spread over the western third of the US. The storm is further off the coast than the previous storm and allows some dry air from the southwest to be transported over Colorado for Monday and Tuesday. There will still be a chance of afternoon storms for each day, though, as numerous waves of energy travel over our area.

After traveling south along the West Coast on Monday, this storm is forecast to turn eastward around midweek and travel across southern Arizona and New Mexico, bringing increasing chances of cool and mostly showery weather to end the work week.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Wednesday

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

The now-diffuse storm to our south will mainly affect areas to our south for tonight and tomorrow, though we will still have cool and showery weather for Thursday with some sun for the first part of the day followed by passing afternoon storms later in the day.

Afternoon showers should decrease in intensity for Friday as the airmass dries and significantly warms ahead of another large storm approaching the Pacific Northwest around Friday. This storm is forecast to move south along the West Coast through Saturday, keeping warm and relatively dry air over our area with breezy to windy southwest winds for the first part of the weekend.

By Sunday, the West Coast storm is forecast to be moving eastward through the Great Basin. Rather than skirting to our northwest as in yesterday’s forecast, the storm now looks to bring a cold front through the area around Sunday afternoon, possibly bringing some strong storms and dropping temperatures later in the day.

Following quickly on Monday, another Pacific storm approaches the northwest coast, allowing cool air from western Canada to spread over the western third of the US. Weather over our area will generally be cool and unsettled through midweek, with periodic light showers, especially in the afternoon, as this storm approaches and moves over our area midweek.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Tuesday

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

The Great Basin storm currently near Las Vegas that is affecting our weather is forecast to travel eastward along the Old Mexico border tonight and tomorrow, which is further south than earlier forecasts. The further-south solution has lead to a drier day today than earlier predicted, and that trend will thankfully continue as the bulk of the precipitation stays to our south over the next few days.

We will still have cool and showery weather for Wednesday and Thursday with some sun for the first part of the day followed by passing afternoon storms, possibly strong, later in the day.

Afternoon showers should decrease in intensity for Friday as the airmass dries and significantly warms ahead of another large storm approaching the Pacific Northwest around Friday. This storm is forecast to move south along the West Coast through the weekend, keeping warm and relatively dry air over our area with breezy to windy southwest winds for most of the weekend. There will be enough moisture around, however, for the obligatory passing afternoon storms.

There is uncertainty with the track of the West Coast storm as it moves near our area early in the work week, with current model solutions pointing towards more of a grazing storm to our northwest than a direct hit.

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