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Hot and dry week ahead

Sunday, June 24, 2018

An unseasonably strong storm brought a cold front through the Steamboat Springs area Saturday night, and we are seeing a cool and showery day this Sunday as storms move over northern Colorado in the moist and unstable northwest flow behind the front. Temperatures at the top of Mt. Werner fell from a high of 60F on Saturday afternoon to just about freezing around noon today, and the Arapahoe Basin ski area cam showed some accumulating snow near 12,000 feet!

This storm will depart Colorado sooner than I originally thought in the previous forecast, with showers ending by sunset, if not earlier, followed by a cool night. We should see plenty of sun for Monday as dry air settles over our region and very comfortable temperatures before a building ridge of high pressure moves over the Rocky Mountains and brings much warmer and drier air over Colorado starting Tuesday and lasting into the weekend.

A Pacific storm traveling eastward along the Canadian border will bring breezy conditions and some clouds for Wednesday, and a very small chance of some showers later in the day and overnight that would produce more gusty wind than rain.

Otherwise, hot and dry weather is advertised for the rest of the work week and heading into the weekend ahead of the next weather-maker that may very well be similar to the storms today and last Sunday. A strong Pacific storm may again mix with some cold air from the North Pole and develop into another unseasonably cold storm. As might be expected, there is disagreement among the various weather forecast models, with the American GFS advertising more cold air and a deeper storm that may affect us around mid next weekend.

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