Sunday, February 21, 2016
A Pacific storm will move over the area Monday in northwest flow and mix with some cold air drawn southwards from the Canadian Plains, starting snows around midday and lasting through Tuesday morning.
Sunday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with lows around 10 in Craig and teens in Steamboat.
Monday: Chance of snow in Craig and snow likely in Steamboat and the mountain with accumulations around an inch in Steamboat and 1-3” on the hill. Breezy westerly winds with highs around 30 in the valleys and in the 20’s on the mountain.
Monday night: Chance of snow in Craig and snow likely in Steamboat and the mountain with accumulations of 1-3” in Steamboat and 3-6” on the hill. Breezy westerly winds turning northerly with lows in the teens.
Saturday, February 20, 2016
A mostly dry wave mostly to our north will drag a bit of cool air over our area tonight into tomorrow morning with mostly sunny skies forecast for the day.
Saturday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with lows around 10 in Craig and teens in Steamboat.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with highs in the 30’s in the valleys and around 30 on the mountain, with breezy westerly winds.
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with lows around 10 in Craig and teens in Steamboat.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Some moisture in westerly flow will bring partly cloudy skies with a small chance of minimally accumulating snow showers on the hill while the valleys will see partly sunny skies for Saturday.
Friday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with lows around 10 in Craig and teens for Steamboat.
Saturday: Partly sunny with highs in the 30’s in the valleys. Partly cloudy with high temperatures around 30 on the mountain with a small chance of minimally accumulating snow showers.
Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with lows around 10. A small chance of snow showers on the mountain with minimal accumulations.
Thursday, February 18, 2016
After almost 4” of snow in 2.5 hours late this afternoon into this evening in Steamboat Springs, snows will end by around midnight before mostly sunny skies return for Friday.
Thursday night: Snows should end before midnight with skies turning partly cloudy and winds decreasing, but still remaining breezy, leaving 4-6” for the Friday morning ski report. Lows in the teens.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the 40’s in Craig, 30’s in Steamboat and around 30 on the mountain. Breezy southwesterly winds with gusts up to 25 mph.
Friday night: Lows in the teens in Craig and around 20 in Steamboat.
Don’t let the current sunny skies fool you as this is a slot of dry air ahead of the very windy storm timed to cross the Steamboat Springs area late this afternoon. Gusty southwest winds will veer to the west and become stronger around and behind the frontal passage, with several hours of intense snowfall leading to blowing snow and difficult travel conditions around sunset.
Snowfall should be over by midnight, leaving 3-6” on the hill for the Friday morning ski report. Skies will become partly sunny on Friday before a weak wave to our north brings cooler temperatures and the threat of very light snow showers for early Saturday.
Drier air for Sunday promises a sunnier day before moisture increases late Monday ahead of a wave traveling over the West Coast ridge. This is an interesting development since some cold air from the Canadian Plains is forecast to mix with this wave, bringing some snows to the area on Tuesday.
The westward extent of the cold air over the Canadian Plains has been a key variable in our snowfall this winter. From about mid-December through early February, the West Coast ridge associated with El Nino events had been attacked from the west with Pacific energy and from the east by the cold air over the western Canadian Plains. We have done very well with snowfall as the moist Pacific air undercuts the ridge and overruns the cold Canadian air.
These last 10 days have seen the cold air move eastwards, bringing very cold air and winter weather to the East Coast, but leaving the West Coast ridge stronger and warmer, reducing the threat of snowfall for our area. I am hopeful that the cool air for the Tuesday storm marks a westward expansion of the cold Canadian Plains airmass and a return to a more active weather pattern.
Another drier and weaker wave is forecast to cross north of the area around Thursday, but current forecasts have no precipitation associated with this disturbance.