Thursday, April 21, 2016
Another beautiful and warm spring day is on tap for Friday before a series of storms impacts our area again starting Saturday afternoon, continuing the active weather through what looks like the end of the month.
The next storm traveling across the Great Basin on Saturday and eventually southern Wyoming by Sunday brings a cold front, with some thunder possible if the timing is right, through the area around Saturday afternoon. Breezy southwest winds will develop during the day ahead of the front as the storm approaches. The storm has trended a bit further north in the latest model runs, bringing less precipitation to our area, though we may still see some snowflakes mixed in with some light rain rain in the valleys and light snow on the mountain, yielding around an inch or two by Sunday.
Showers will likely remain Sunday as the cool and breezy northwest flow keeps the weather unsettled, though we should see some sun in the afternoon as the storm moves east of our area.
There will be a break Sunday night into Monday morning before breezy southwest winds and possible afternoon showers develop ahead of the storm in the wave train. Current forecasts have showers turning into more persistent precipitation on Tuesday and lasting through midweek as the storm moves across the Great Basin.
Wednesday, April 20, 2016
Spring briefly returns to the area starting Thursday until a series of storms impacts our area again starting Saturday afternoon, continuing the active weather through what looks like the end of the month.
A nice warm up is in store for the rest of the work week before another storm traveling across the Great Basin and eventually southern Wyoming brings a cold front through the area around Saturday afternoon. Breezy southwest winds will develop during the day ahead of the front as the storm approaches. There is a bit more cold air associated with this system than earlier forecast, so we may see some snowflakes mixed in with the rain in the valleys with snow accumulating at the higher elevations.
Showers will likely remain Sunday as the cool northwest flow keeps the weather unsettled.
There may be a break Sunday night into Monday morning before breezy southwest winds and possible afternoon showers develop ahead of the second storm. Current forecasts have showers turning into more persistent precipitation on Tuesday.
Tuesday, April 19, 2016
The monster storm that will have brought inclement weather to our area for the past six days will finally leave us later Wednesday after one more parting shot of unsettled conditions.
Non-accumulating rain and snow showers are possible in the valleys overnight with snow showers turning to periods of light to perhaps moderate snow on the hill early Wednesday. Showers may pick up early in the morning in the valleys as well when the wave passes, but weather models have trended weaker with this last wave, and I would expect 1-4” of snow on the mountain by the time the storm finally clears the area by Wednesday evening, with some sun possible during the day.
A nice warm up is in store for the rest of the work week as spring briefly returns to the area, with possible rain showers Friday afternoon, before another storm threatens our area with inclement weather around mid-weekend. The GFS has come around to the ECMWF in keeping the first of two Pacific storms further north, bringing rain showers to our are at all elevations by Saturday afternoon. The southern part of the storm will pass through the area Saturday night or Sunday morning, keeping the showery weather around for Sunday.
There may be a break Monday before the second storm brings more inclement weather to our area around Tuesday.
After receiving 9” Friday morning in town, and another 2” Sunday morning, Milly and I headed up the Steamboat ski area to ski some powder.
Parking at the base of the Thunderhead lift, we hiked about 90 minutes on Alpine Touring gear to reach the Four Points lodge, rested, and caught First (and only at that time) tracks next to the Storm Peak liftline.
There was about a foot of medium-density snow with a bit of a crust, though the turns were bouncy and consistent. The chunky snow was flying around thigh-deep on the descent. The observant will notice the rest I took about half way down to fully enjoy the remaining turns.
The picture was taken from the bottom of Tornado Lane and you can see Milly’s paw prints bisecting my tracks!
On the left is a panoramic shot of Tornado and the Four Points lift, with the very top of Nelson’s and Twister in view. The picture was snapped from Flatout near Surprise.
The next day, while riding down the Core Trail to the gym, I noticed another skier had laid down some nice tracks next to mine.
I am heartened to see some powder etiquette and artistic skiing displayed as that seems to be sorely lacking these days!
Monday, April 18, 2016
This slow-moving storm, covering the western half of the country from the Pacific coastal mountain ranges to the Mississippi river and the Mexican to Canadian borders, will continue to bring cool and unsettled weather to our area through Wednesday.
There may be patchy fog in the valleys tomorrow morning before it clears, and some periods of sun similar to today. A lobe of energy that brought severe weather to the central plains Sunday night will finally move south over our area by tomorrow afternoon or night, after a circuitous route around the storm.
While the exact timing is still uncertain, non-accumulating snow showers are likely in the valleys during Tuesday afternoon and overnight and snow showers turning to periods of light to moderate snow are likely on the hill. We may see some clearing by Wednesday afternoon if the faster model solution verifies, but in any case I would expect 3-6” of snow on the mountain by the time the storm finally clears the area by later Wednesday.
A nice warm up is in store for the rest of the work week as spring briefly returns to the area, with possible rain showers Friday afternoon, before another storm threatens our area with inclement weather around mid-weekend. There is large model disagreement by then with the GFS bringing the storm south of us while the ECMWF is further north.