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Beautiful fall weather ahead of a couple of end-of-week storms

Sunday, October 13, 2019

Temperatures are recovering nicely in Steamboat Springs this Sunday after our winter-like storm this past Thursday, with sunny skies and a noontime temperature of 50 F, headed toward our average high of 60 F. Most of the work week should feature seasonable and beautiful fall weather, with a small storm forecast for Friday and a stronger and colder storm for Sunday that will likely bring another round of snow to Colorado.

We’ll see cold mornings with lows a good several degrees below our average of 27 F as the clear nights. light winds and low relative humidity allow the surface to efficiently radiate heat to space. With sunny skies expected through Thursday, high temperatures will be above average, except for Tuesday when a weak storm to our north grazes our area. Breezy westerly winds are expected later Monday in advance of the storm, and slightly cooler temperatures are expected on Tuesday after the storm passes.

A ridge of high pressure temporarily builds over the West on Wednesday and Thursday ahead of a couple of incoming Pacific storms, leading to continued sunny skies and our warmest temperatures of the week that may touch 70 F.

The first storm will begin affecting our area by later Thursday as moisture increases ahead of the storm. Ironically, clouds ahead of the storm Thursday night will keep our overnight lows warmer than they had been all week, but the cool front and likely precipitation associated with the storm will lower our high temperatures on Friday. The storm is quick-moving, with breezy westerly winds and rain showers likely during the day at lower elevations and snow showers at higher elevations.

Weather forecast models have struggled with the timing of the second storm, but currently it looks like Saturday will be an in-between day with cooler than average temperatures and continued breezy westerly winds ahead of the cold front expected Saturday night. The storm is forecast to intensify as it crosses the Rocky Mountains on Sunday, and temperatures will be cold enough for accumulating snows in town. Details will undoubtedly change by my next weather narrative on Thursday afternoon, but snowfall should turn lighter and more showery by Sunday night.

While showers look to end in the valley on Monday, moisture embedded in the brisk northwest flow behind the storm should keep higher elevation snow showers going before they taper off on Tuesday.

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