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Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Friday

Friday, May 13, 2016

Yet another wave rotating around the storm that affected us earlier this week, currently located north of the Great Lakes, has brought some cooler temperatures to the Front Range today. Some of this air looks to briefly filter over the Continental Divide Friday night into early Saturday before westerly winds force the front to retreat eastward in the morning. Lingering moisture in the warm airmass will fuel the threat of some Saturday afternoon showers that may extend into the evening.

Meanwhile, a Pacific storm is forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast late Saturday and drop into the Great Basin by Sunday. Transient ridging ahead of the storm should bring a warm and breezy day for Sunday, though there will be periods of sun and showers.

Energy and cool air still rotating around the old Great Lakes storm will mix with the Great Basin storm on Monday, and energy ejecting ahead of the storm will bring cool and showery weather to start Monday. A well defined lead shortwave then moves over our area later Monday, bringing the threat of moderate to heavy rainfall Monday night into Tuesday, with snow levels around 8000′ - 9000′.

There may be a brief break early Tuesday before the main storm approaches Colorado later Tuesday and brings another round of moderate to heavy rainfall Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Continued cool and showery weather with the possibility of strong afternoon storms are on tap for Wednesday and Thursday as the storm passes south of our area and eventually moves east of the Rockies.

Currently, Friday may be a relatively precipitation-free day before another large storm approaches the Pacific Northwest by the weekend. Right now, it looks a ridge finally wants to develop over the Rockies which deflects the brunt of the storm to our north and east.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Thursday

Thursday, May 12, 2016

While a beautiful spring day is on tap for Friday, yet another wave rotating around the storm that affected us earlier this week, currently located north of the Great Lakes, brings some cooler temperatures to the Front Range late on Friday. Some of this air looks to filter over the Continental Divide Friday night into early Saturday before westerly winds force the front to retreat eastward in the morning. Lingering moisture in the warm airmass will fuel the threat of some Saturday afternoon showers.

Meanwhile, a Pacific storm is forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast late Saturday and drop into the Great Basin by Sunday. Transient ridging ahead of the storm should bring a warm and breezy day for Sunday, again with the possibility of afternoon showers. There is model disagreement with the strength of the Sunday showers but I expect the wetter AVN is overdone compared to the drier NAM.

Complicated interactions are forecast to occur between the Great Basin storm, additional upstream Pacific energy and additional energy still rotating around the old Great Lakes storm, leading to a wet Monday as a lead wave is forecast to eject over our area early in the day.

The main storm quickly follows the lead shortwave and moves over our area on Tuesday, bringing the threat of moderate to heavy rainfall Monday night into Tuesday. There may be a brief break late Tuesday into early Wednesday before another storm crosses the Pacific Northwest on Tuesday and brings more weather to our area for later Wednesday and Thursday.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Wednesday

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Thursday will be relatively warm and sunny after another cool night tonight before another wave rotating around the just passed storm may bring some cooler temperatures to the area for later Friday into early Saturday, though at this point it is uncertain whether this airmass will make it over the Continental Divide.

Otherwise, most of Saturday should be nice until yet another wave rotating around the longitudinally expanding old storm north of the Great Lakes mixes with some Pacific energy and brings the threat of some afternoon showers.

Meanwhile, a Pacific storm is forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast late Saturday and drop into the Great Basin by Sunday. Transient ridging ahead of the storm should bring a warm and breezy day for Sunday before complicated interactions are forecast to occur between the Great Basin storm, additional upstream Pacific energy and additional energy still rotating around the old storm that affected us this past weekend.

While the details will no doubt evolve as we get closer to the event, indeed they have already changed from yesterday, another round of cool and unsettled weather with periods of precipitation look to be on tap for the beginning of next week.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Tuesday

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

After a seasonably cool night tonight, a wave rotating down the west side of the past storm, currently located in North Dakota, is forecast to rotate through northern Colorado on Wednesday and reinforce the current cool spring airmass, bringing breezy conditions over our area with a chance of afternoon showers.

After another cool night Wednesday, Thursday will be warm and mostly sunny before another wave rotating around the same storm may bring some cooler temperatures to the area for later Friday into early Saturday, though at this point it is uncertain whether this airmass will make it over the Continental Divide.

Otherwise, most of Saturday should be nice until yet another wave rotating around the longitudinally expanding old storm mixes with some Pacific energy and brings the threat of some afternoon showers.

Meanwhile, a Pacific storm is forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast late Saturday and drop into the Great Basin by Sunday. Transient ridging ahead of the storm should bring a warm and breezy day for Sunday before complicated interactions are forecast to occur between the Great Basin storm, additional upstream Pacific energy and additional energy still rotating around the old storm that affected us this past weekend.

While the details will no doubt evolve as we get closer to the event, another round of cool and unsettled weather with periods of precipitation look to be on tap for most of the next work week.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Monday

Monday, May 9, 2016

After about 15” of snow over the last few days fell on top of Mount Werner, one last colder storm from the Pacific Northwest, currently in Idaho, will affect our area with precipitation tonight and cooler temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday before spring returns by Thursday.

A band of moderate to heavy showers look to cross the area around mid-evening in the unstable air ahead of the front. Showers may decrease for a brief time before quickly becoming strong again with the frontal passage around midnight, which is about twelve hours faster than the last few forecasts. We’ll likely see another 2-5” of snow on the hill, with some snow accumulating on the grassy surfaces of the valleys along with breezy westerly winds.

Models are now consistent (the NAM model has joined the more consistent AVN) in keeping most of the precipitation to our south and north on Tuesday, leaving our area mostly precipitation free in cool springtime temperatures, except for the possibility of the obligatory afternoon showers.

A trailing wave is forecast to rotate through northern Colorado on Wednesday, keeping cool temperatures and breezy conditions over our area with a chance of afternoon showers.

Thursday still looks warm and mostly sunny before some cool and dry air to our east from the Canadian Plains may bring some cooler temperatures to the area for Friday, though at this point it is uncertain whether this airmass will make it over the Continental Divide. Saturday may remain pleasant before more cool air from the Canadian Plans and an incoming Pacific storm combine to possibly threaten our weather late in the weekend.

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