Tuesday, May 17, 2016
The Great Basin storm currently near Las Vegas that is affecting our weather is forecast to travel eastward along the Old Mexico border tonight and tomorrow, which is further south than earlier forecasts. The further-south solution has lead to a drier day today than earlier predicted, and that trend will thankfully continue as the bulk of the precipitation stays to our south over the next few days.
We will still have cool and showery weather for Wednesday and Thursday with some sun for the first part of the day followed by passing afternoon storms, possibly strong, later in the day.
Afternoon showers should decrease in intensity for Friday as the airmass dries and significantly warms ahead of another large storm approaching the Pacific Northwest around Friday. This storm is forecast to move south along the West Coast through the weekend, keeping warm and relatively dry air over our area with breezy to windy southwest winds for most of the weekend. There will be enough moisture around, however, for the obligatory passing afternoon storms.
There is uncertainty with the track of the West Coast storm as it moves near our area early in the work week, with current model solutions pointing towards more of a grazing storm to our northwest than a direct hit.