Friday, May 1, 2015
The weather for this weekend and early next week looks to be fairly similar to what we are now experiencing, with warm temperatures and the threat of afternoon storms. There is a grazing wave along the U.S. - Canadian border that will drop temperatures a bit on Sunday and may lead to a greater chance of wetting rains, especially in the afternoon.
However, it looks like our weather will be turning wet during next week as a storm crosses the Baja peninsula on Monday. There may be a greater chance of afternoon storms by Monday afternoon over our area as ill-defined pieces of energy eject from this storm.
Current forecast have this storm moving northeastward, though the track looks to swing first south of us by Tuesday and then east of us by Wednesday, favoring the Front Range of Colorado. Additionally, a much stronger storm enters the Pacific Northwest coast on Tuesday, and at the very least will keep our weather unsettled through the week.
There is a lot of model uncertainty as to the evolution of this second storm, with the American GFS model bringing pieces of this storm over our area by the end of the workweek, while the European ECMWF is a bit slower moving the storm eastward. In either case, models are favoring a wet solution for at least part of next weekend.