Steamboat Springs area short term weather forecast from Saturday night
Saturday, January 30, 2016
The first storm will exit our area Sunday morning after good snow tonight, but the break in the weather should be brief as models currently have snow turning on again later Sunday night as the second storm moves along the Colorado - New Mexico border during the day Monday. Our snowfall will be very dependent upon the actual track of the storm and current models disagree about the northward extent of the snows.
Saturday night: West winds with snow and possible blowing snow with accumulations around an inch in Craig, 2-4” in Steamboat and 4-8” on the mountain, yielding a Sunday morning ski report of 6-12”. Colder with lows in the single digits in Craig and near 10 in Steamboat.
Sunday: Snowfall will end early Sunday, first for the valleys and then for the mountain. Highs in the 20’s in Craig and around 20 in Steamboat.
Sunday night: Snow likely late as we begin to feel the affects of the next storm to our southwest. The amount of snow will be dependent upon the eventual track of the storm, but current models have 1-3” in Steamboat and 4-8” on the mountain. Lows in the single digits.
Monday: Winds turning easterly and continuing snow with 2-4” in the valleys and 4-8” on the mountain. Highs around 20 in the valleys and teens on the mountain.
Monday night: Colder with additional snowfall of 1-3” in the valleys and 4-8” on the mountain, leading to a possible Tuesday morning ski report of 8-16”. Lows around zero in Craig and single digits in Steamboat.
Steamboat Springs area short term weather forecast from Friday night
Friday, January 29, 2016
A wet Pacific jet stream takes aim on northern Colorado early Saturday morning. Precipitation may first be mixed in the valleys before the cold front arrives early Saturday morning, bringing moderate to heavy snows for Saturday and likely Saturday evening before tapering off early Sunday.
Friday night: Chance of snow with around an inch in Steamboat and 2-4” on the mountain with lows around 20 in Craig and in the 20’s in Steamboat.
Saturday: Mixed rain and snow early in the morning turning to moderate to heavy snow and blowing snow in the valleys when the cold front passes, while the mountain will see all snow. Highs around 30 in the valleys and in the 20’s at mid-mountain early in the day with gusty west winds occurring with and behind the front. Accumulations 3-6” in Craig, 4-8” in Steamboat and 5-10” on the mountain.
Saturday night: Snow likely early but tapering off after midnight with colder temperatures and continued west winds. Another inch or two in Craig, 2-4” in Steamboat and 3-6” on the mountain, leading to an 8-16” Sunday morning ski report.
Sunday: Cloudy with a break between storms with highs in the teens.
Sunday night: Cloudy with a chance of snow with lows in the single digits.
Two major storms for the upcoming week
Thursday, January 28, 2016
A wet and relatively warm Pacific jet stream will bring increasing winds and moisture to the Steamboat Springs area starting Friday night. Temperatures will warm and precipitation may be mixed in the valleys Friday night and early Saturday before the cold front is forecast to sweep through the area early Saturday, changing any rain to snow and increasing snowfall rates.
The timing of the cold front will determine how much snow falls during the day versus overnight Saturday, but 7-14” of snow is expected at the Steamboat ski area for the Sunday morning report.
A brief break is then advertised for Sunday ahead of a large, complex and potentially dangerous storm crossing the West Coast late in the weekend. This storm will intensify as it crosses the Great Basin as very cold air from the Canadian Plains mixes with the relatively warm and wet overrunning Pacific jet stream.
Current forecasts have moderate to likely heavy snow going by Monday afternoon and continuing into Tuesday as very cold air invades the area, creating travel issues both in the mountains and the plains. Additional waves of energy and cold air move over the area in northwest flow later Tuesday and Wednesday, keeping low-density snows going through possibly Thursday morning.
Steamboat Springs area short term weather forecast from Thursday night
The area will be under the influence of two major storms over the next week, the first of which affects our weather from Friday night through Saturday night. Precipitation may be mixed in the valleys starting Friday night before a cold front passes sometime early Saturday bringing all snow and gusty west winds.
Thursday night: Becoming mostly cloudy overnight with lows around zero in Craig and 10 in Steamboat.
Friday: Chance of rain and snow in the valleys with snow on the mountain. Highs around 30 in the valleys and 20’s on the mountain.
Friday night: Chance of rain and snow in the valleys and snow on the mountain with 1-3” of accumulations to be reported Saturday morning. Lows in the 20’s.
Saturday: Rain and snow likely in the valleys during the early morning turning to all snow by later in the morning or afternoon when the cold front passes. Accumulations around 1-3” in Craig, 2-4” in Steamboat and 4-8” on the mountain with highs around 30 early in the day before temperatures cool and westerly winds increase.
Saturday night: Snow and blowing snow with accumulations around 2-4” in the valleys and 3-6” on the mountain leading to a 7-14” Sunday morning report. Lows around zero in Craig and 10 in Steamboat with breezy west winds.
Wet weather turning much colder for the next week
The current sunny conditions will end by tomorrow as a quick moving wave skirts our northern border Friday, creating some light snow at the Steamboat ski area with perhaps several inches of accumulating snow during Friday.
Following closely is a wet and relatively warm Pacific jet stream that will begin precipitation Friday night. Because temperatures are forecast to warm through noon or afternoon Saturday, there may be rain in the valleys before the cool air associated with this storm sags south over northern Colorado by later Saturday. There is disagreement in the models about how much warming occurs during the day Saturday, and this will affect how much snow we see during the day, with 2-5” of relatively dense snow likely.
Cooler air Saturday night will lead to moderate and sometimes heavy snow overnight, leaving 6-12” of snow for the Sunday morning ski report.
Snow looks to taper off during the day Sunday as brief and shallow ridging moves over the area ahead of a large, complex and potentially dangerous storm crossing the West Coast on Sunday. This storm will intensify as it crosses the Great Basin as very cold air from the Canadian Plains mixes with the relatively warm and wet overrunning Pacific jet stream.
The dynamic nature of this storm makes forecasting difficult, but current models bring light snow over our area by early Monday morning before turning moderate to heavy by later Monday. As the storm moves somewhere along the southern Colorado border on Monday, moderate to heavy snows may continue for our area as a TROWAL is indicated to form and persist overnight. Additionally, very cold air will move southward along the west side of the storm as it moves east of our area, possibly creating a huge powder day for Tuesday.
Additional waves of energy and cold air move over the area in northwest flow later Tuesday and Wednesday, keeping snows going through possibly Thursday morning.
