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Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Sunday afternoon

Sunday, May 1, 2016

Much drier air has moved over our area as promised today bringing a beautiful spring day with lots of sun and cool, breezy northeasterly winds.

The storm that was initially forecast to bring inclement weather to our for today and tomorrow now looks to say south of us as the cool northerly flow continues Monday, bringing a mostly similar day to today.

A weak wave from the north moves mostly east of our area Monday night, and though it may bring some clouds overnight and into Tuesday morning, the northerly push keeps the weather associated with the old Great Basin storm to our south for another cool spring day with mostly sunny skies by the afternoon.

The warm-up arrives in earnest for Wednesday and Thursday with a welcome dose of above average temperatures for a change, though it now appears there will be a threat of afternoon and possibly evening storms by later Thursday as yet another large storm looks to affect cross the coast then.

Energy ejected over our area will bring breezy southwest winds, moisture and lift that will fuel the late Thursday storms. The storm is then forecast to move eastward and possibly bring inclement weather to our area for Mother’s Day weekend.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Saturday night

Saturday, April 30, 2016

As the Great Basin storm moves mostly south of us on Sunday, some drier air moves over allowing the sun to make an appearance for a relatively nice day, though there will still be a chance of afternoon showers.

The storm waffles around the area around Monday before parts of it start moving east of our area around Tuesday. The AVN has Monday cool and showery for most of the day while the once-again drier NAM has only afternoon showers, and considering how today turned out I’m inclined to side with the drier solution.

More drying takes place overnight to allow the sun to reappear for most of Tuesday. The sun will cook the remaining moisture in the atmosphere during the day and keep the threat of afternoon storms, possibly strong, high for Tuesday.

Wednesday and Thursday and possibly early Friday should bring a nice springtime break in the active weather with temperatures warming above average.

Yet another large storm looks to affect our weather for Mother’s Day weekend, with showers and southwest winds possibly beginning as soon as Friday afternoon in advance of the cutoff low.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Friday night

Friday, April 29, 2016

The last major storm in the near term, forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast tonight and then take up residence in the Great Basin for the weekend and beginning of next week, will mix with energy from the previous storm spinning east of us by tomorrow.

The NAM and AVN models have converged to a compromise solution over the past 24 hours, keeping light showers going for Saturday with some stronger showers advertised for the afternoon.

As the Great Basin storm moves mostly south of us on Sunday, some drier air moves over allowing the sun to make an appearance for a relatively nice day, though there will still be a chance of afternoon showers.

The storm waffles around the area around Monday before parts of it start moving east of our area around Tuesday. Monday will be cool and showery for most of the day before enough drying takes place overnight to allow the sun to reappear for Tuesday morning. The sun will cook the remaining moisture in the atmosphere during the day and keep the threat of afternoon storms, possibly strong, high for Tuesday.

Wednesday and Thursday and possibly early Friday should bring a nice springtime break in the active weather with warming and drying, though the ECMWF has recently latched on to a cutoff feature that may linger just north of us through midweek and bring clouds that will reduce the warming.

Yet another large storm looks to affect our weather as soon as Friday afternoon and lasting through Mother’s Day weekend.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Thursday afternoon

Thursday, April 28, 2016

The next storm in the wave train brought 3/8” hail to Steamboat this afternoon with another round of lighter showers forecast for later this evening through about midnight. The Front Range foothills are still forecast to pick up substantial snow from tonight through Friday, making travel difficult.

Closer to home, Friday looks to be yet another showery day with another round of moderate to strong afternoon storms.

The last storm in the near term, forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast on Friday night and then take up residence in the Great Basin for the weekend and beginning of next week, will mix with energy from the previous storm spinning over the Colorado Rockies on Saturday. The complicated interaction leads to subtle differences in the model which decreases forecast confidence heading into the weekend.

The dryer NAM keeps only afternoon showers around for the weekend while the wetter AVN has more persistent showers for Saturday.

The Great Basin storm is forecast to move over our area around Monday, though a bit further south than earlier forecast, leading to a drier forecast for Sunday with the sun making an appearance, though there will still be a chance of afternoon storms.

The storm waffles around the area before parts of it start moving east of our area around Tuesday, bringing a cool and showery Monday and keeping the threat of showers high for Tuesday as well, especially in the afternoon.

Wednesday and Thursday and possibly Friday should bring a nice springtime break in the active weather with warming and drying. However, yet another large storm looks to affect our weather sometime around Mother’s Day weekend.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Wednesday afternoon

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

After a brief break tonight into Thursday morning, the next storm in the wave train will bring another round of moderate to heavy snow showers to the area by Thursday afternoon and extending through the night. There may be short-lived accumulations on the roadway in the valleys during the heavier showers, but the majority of valley accumulations should be on grassy surfaces. The mountain, on the other hand, will see another 3-6” of snow by early Friday morning.

The last storm in the near term, forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast on Friday night and then take up residence in the Great Basin for the weekend and beginning of next week, will mix with energy from the previous storm spinning over the Colorado Rockies on Saturday. The complicated interaction leads to subtle differences in the model which decrease forecast confidence heading into the weekend.

Currently, it appears persistent showers will continue through Friday morning with an additional inch or two on the mountain. The dryer NAM keeps only afternoon showers around for the weekend while the wetter AVN has more persistent showers through both days. But they agree the Front Range foothills will pick up substantial snow from Thursday night through Friday, making travel difficult.

The Great Basin storm is forecast to move over our area around Monday, keeping chances of at least afternoon storms high. The storm waffles around the area before parts of it start moving east of our area around Tuesday, keeping the threat of showers high for Tuesday as well, especially in the afternoon.

Wednesday and Thursday should bring a nice springtime break in the active weather with warming and drying. However, yet another large storm looks to affect our weather as soon as Friday and extending into Mother’s Day weekend.

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