Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Monday

Monday, May 16, 2016

Quite the wintry day across the country for mid-May at the higher elevations as the Steamboat Powdercam showed almost 5” of snow had fallen at the top of Sunshine Peak by late this morning, along with 5” at Killington Resort in Vermont and 3” at Timberline Lodge in Oregon.

The storm responsible for our weather today was dropping south through the Great Basin this afternoon and will affect the Four Corners states through Thursday.

More cool air washes over our area tonight from the Great Lakes storm that affected our weather last week, reinforcing the cool temperatures and possibly bringing some stray snowflakes to the Steamboat valley overnight.

The Great Basin storm then weakens and turns eastward later Tuesday, bringing another round of moderate to heavy showers Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Continued cool and showery weather with possibly some sun in the mornings and likely moderate to strong afternoon storms are on tap for Wednesday and Thursday as the storm passes south of our area and eventually moves east of the Rockies.

Afternoon showers should decrease in intensity for Friday as the airmass dries before another large storm approaches the Pacific Northwest late in the work week. The ECMWF and GFS models have compromised with this new storm’s movement, now bringing a tongue of warm and dry air over our area with breezy southwest winds for most of the weekend before wet weather returns early in the next work week.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Sunday

Sunday, May 15, 2016

Another couple of rounds of showers timed for later this afternoon and mid-evening will pass over the area today.

Then, energy and cool air still rotating around the old Great Lakes storm that was over our area earlier this week will mix with a storm forecast to be over the Great Basin on Monday, and energy ejecting ahead of the storm will bring cool and showery weather to start Monday. A well defined lead shortwave then travels near our area later in the day, bringing moderate to sometimes heavy showers for Monday afternoon and evening. Snow levels for the entire work week will be around 8000′ - 9000′, lowering during the night and also in the presence of heavy showers, and rising during the day.

More cool air washes over our area from the Great Lakes storm on Tuesday, reinforcing the cool temperatures and possibly bringing some stray snowflakes to the Steamboat valley overnight and early in the morning. The main storm then approaches Colorado later Tuesday and brings another round of moderate to heavy showers Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Continued cool and showery weather with the possibility of strong afternoon storms are on tap for Wednesday and Thursday as the storm passes south of our area and eventually moves east of the Rockies.

Afternoon showers should decrease in intensity for Friday as the airmass dries before another large storm approaches the Pacific Northwest late in the work week. The ECMWF brings wet weather to our area late in the weekend while the GFS is a bit slower and eventually further north, sparing the weekend.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Saturday

Saturday, May 14, 2016

A new Pacific storm is currently crossing the Pacific Northwest coast and will drop into the Great Basin by Sunday, increasing moisture, southwest winds and upward motion over our area tomorrow. Ahead of the storm, some energy moving over the area tonight might bring some evening showers that should end by midnight. Showers may start again relatively early in the day Sunday and become stronger by the afternoon and early evening.

Energy and cool air still rotating around the old Great Lakes storm that was over our area earlier this week will mix with the Great Basin storm on Monday, and energy ejecting ahead of the storm will bring cool and showery weather to start Monday. A well defined lead shortwave then moves further south of our area than earlier forecast, reducing the chance of heavier precipitation but keeping lighter showers around. Snow levels for the entire work week will be around 8000′ - 9000′, lowest during the night and rising during the day.

More cool air washes over our area from the Great Lakes storm on Tuesday, reinforcing the cool temperatures and possibly bringing some stray snowflakes to the Steamboat valley early in the morning. The main storm then approaches Colorado later Tuesday and brings a round of moderate to heavy rainfall Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Continued cool and showery weather with the possibility of strong afternoon storms are on tap for Wednesday and Thursday as the storm passes south of our area and eventually moves east of the Rockies.

Currently, Friday may be a relatively precipitation-free day before another large storm approaches the Pacific Northwest late in the work week and threatens our weather for next weekend.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Friday

Friday, May 13, 2016

Yet another wave rotating around the storm that affected us earlier this week, currently located north of the Great Lakes, has brought some cooler temperatures to the Front Range today. Some of this air looks to briefly filter over the Continental Divide Friday night into early Saturday before westerly winds force the front to retreat eastward in the morning. Lingering moisture in the warm airmass will fuel the threat of some Saturday afternoon showers that may extend into the evening.

Meanwhile, a Pacific storm is forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast late Saturday and drop into the Great Basin by Sunday. Transient ridging ahead of the storm should bring a warm and breezy day for Sunday, though there will be periods of sun and showers.

Energy and cool air still rotating around the old Great Lakes storm will mix with the Great Basin storm on Monday, and energy ejecting ahead of the storm will bring cool and showery weather to start Monday. A well defined lead shortwave then moves over our area later Monday, bringing the threat of moderate to heavy rainfall Monday night into Tuesday, with snow levels around 8000′ - 9000′.

There may be a brief break early Tuesday before the main storm approaches Colorado later Tuesday and brings another round of moderate to heavy rainfall Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Continued cool and showery weather with the possibility of strong afternoon storms are on tap for Wednesday and Thursday as the storm passes south of our area and eventually moves east of the Rockies.

Currently, Friday may be a relatively precipitation-free day before another large storm approaches the Pacific Northwest by the weekend. Right now, it looks a ridge finally wants to develop over the Rockies which deflects the brunt of the storm to our north and east.

Steamboat Springs area weather forecast from Thursday

Thursday, May 12, 2016

While a beautiful spring day is on tap for Friday, yet another wave rotating around the storm that affected us earlier this week, currently located north of the Great Lakes, brings some cooler temperatures to the Front Range late on Friday. Some of this air looks to filter over the Continental Divide Friday night into early Saturday before westerly winds force the front to retreat eastward in the morning. Lingering moisture in the warm airmass will fuel the threat of some Saturday afternoon showers.

Meanwhile, a Pacific storm is forecast to cross the Pacific Northwest coast late Saturday and drop into the Great Basin by Sunday. Transient ridging ahead of the storm should bring a warm and breezy day for Sunday, again with the possibility of afternoon showers. There is model disagreement with the strength of the Sunday showers but I expect the wetter AVN is overdone compared to the drier NAM.

Complicated interactions are forecast to occur between the Great Basin storm, additional upstream Pacific energy and additional energy still rotating around the old Great Lakes storm, leading to a wet Monday as a lead wave is forecast to eject over our area early in the day.

The main storm quickly follows the lead shortwave and moves over our area on Tuesday, bringing the threat of moderate to heavy rainfall Monday night into Tuesday. There may be a brief break late Tuesday into early Wednesday before another storm crosses the Pacific Northwest on Tuesday and brings more weather to our area for later Wednesday and Thursday.

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24 March 2018

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