Summery weather to continue through the weekend despite dry cool front tonight
Thursday, March 26, 2026
As has been the case for most of the last couple of weeks, mostly sunny skies are over Steamboat Springs this Thursday at noon, with temperatures in town already approaching seventy degrees, with mid-forties at the top of the Steamboat Ski Resort. A dry cool front tonight will bring slightly cooler temperatures for Friday, though the 2022 record high of 68 degrees may still be challenged. Temperatures rebound into the seventies through the weekend with periods of clouds, followed by a promising cool, wet weather pattern by midweek.
A quick-moving wave of energy to our north will drag a dry cool front through our area tonight, with increasing clouds and breezy conditions ahead of the front. Expect high temperatures tomorrow to fall into the upper sixties, still warm enough to challenge the record.
Meanwhile, a complex weather pattern is developing over the Pacific, featuring low-pressure eddies east and north of Hawaii, a storm in the Gulf of Alaska, and another approaching the Bering Sea. Those weather features will interact through the weekend, bringing a chance for significant high-elevation snow starting around next midweek, with snow possible in town as well.
Ahead of that, a relatively flat ridge of high pressure will build over the West behind tonight’s front, boosting high temperatures back into the seventies for the weekend, which would continue breaking the daily high temperature records.
Interestingly, a high-pressure cell over Texas is forecast to be pushed to the Southeast through the weekend as the eddy north of Hawaii strengthens and pushes the eddy east of Hawaii eastward, crossing southern California around mid-weekend. Winds rotating clockwise around the high-pressure cell and counter-clockwise around the first eddy will carry moisture from the Pacific and Mexico northward, in a surprisingly early monsoon-like pattern, bringing periods of clouds through the weekend.
Of course, the current weather here is surprisingly early, and may or may not be related to a developing strong El Nino pattern, forecast by late summer. The atmosphere may already be subtly reacting to that possible pattern change, and while our wintertime precipitation is not correlated with El Nino or its counterpart, La Nina, the summertime monsoon pattern may be enhanced. That is not a forecast, only a possible outcome.
So enjoy the continued warm weather this weekend, and I’ll have more details on the return of wintry weather in my next regularly scheduled weather narrative on Sunday afternoon.
High temperature records to continue despite Monday cool front
Sunday, March 22, 2026
Some passing clouds are over Steamboat Springs this Sunday at noon, with temperatures approaching 60 degrees in town, on their way to 70 degrees and another daily record, and 40 degrees at the top of the Steamboat Ski Resort. The workweek will continue to be hot, despite a grazing cool front on Monday that may bring a shower, with temperatures warming on Tuesday and perhaps approaching 80 degrees on Wednesday under mostly sunny skies. Another hot day on Thursday will precede a grazing cool front around Friday, which will only blunt the record warmth for a day.
A flat ridge of high pressure extends between a persistent storm over the Gulf of Alaska and a vortex of cold air extending southward from Hudson Bay. Energy ejecting from the Gulf of Alaska storm has flattened the ridge, which brought daily and monthly temperature records to our area starting last Tuesday. The energy will graze our area on Monday with a cool front, bringing clouds and perhaps a late-day or overnight shower, but temperatures will stay warm, approaching the 70-degree record set in 2012.
This follows tying the 66-degree record last Tuesday, set in 2015, and breaking the 70-degree record on Wednesday, set in 2017 with 72 degrees. Wednesday not only broke the daily record but also the 70-degree monthly record for March, set in 2017, 2012, 2004, and 1897. But that record lasted only a day, as the 76 degrees on Thursday set the new monthly record while shattering the daily high record of 64 degrees set in 2017.
The energy traveling to our north will eventually mix with cold air moving southward from Hudson Bay. At the same time, the Gulf of Alaska storm intensifies, forcing the flat ridge over most of North America to rebuild, bringing another stretch of mostly sunny record-breaking high temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday. Tuesday’s high record of 67 degrees and Wednesday’s 69 degrees, both set in 2012, will likely be broken by the forecast temperatures above 70 degrees, with Wednesday’s high temperature forecast between the mid-seventies and near 80 degrees.
More energy forecast to be ejected from the Gulf of Alaska storm may bring another grazing cool front around Friday, with light showers possible depending on the frontal strength. But any cooldown will be brief as the ridge is forecast to rebuild again over the West for the weekend.
The average high temperature for mid-June is 76 degrees, so enjoy the overeager three-months-early summery weather this week, hope that any precipitation from the possible Monday showers reaches the ground, and I’ll have more details about the weekend in my next regularly scheduled weather narrative on Thursday afternoon.
Record daily and monthly high temperatures on tap
Thursday, March 19, 2026
A gorgeous day with nary a cloud in the sky is over Steamboat Springs this Thursday at noon, with temperatures in town already above 60 degrees, on the way to 70 degrees, and 46 degrees at the top of the Steamboat Ski Resort. Even though the spring equinox is not until Friday at 8:46 AM, the atmosphere has other ideas, and is dishing out temperatures representative of early June, with the forecast high temperatures in the 70’s breaking daily records for the next three days. A breezy Saturday will not only set another new record for the day, but also for the month, ahead of a grazing cool front on Sunday, bringing clouds and high temperatures dropping into the sixties.
An unseasonably strong and warm ridge of high pressure centered over the West Coast is sandwiched between a trough of low pressure extending south from the Aleutian Islands and another over eastern North America. Cold air moving south through the Bering Sea will rotate through the Gulf of Alaska on Friday and Saturday, eventually flattening the ridge while driving it eastward, bringing a cool front through our area on Sunday.
Until then, expect mostly sunny skies with high temperatures around 70 degrees today and Friday, breaking the 64-degree records set for both days in 2017. Winds will increase on Saturday ahead of the cool front on Sunday, with even warmer high temperatures in the mid-seventies, breaking the daily 65-degree record set in 2009, and the monthly 70-degree March record set in 2017, 2012, 2004, and 1897.
Unbelievably, even clouds on a cooler Sunday may not interrupt the string of record-breaking warm days, as high temperatures are forecast to be around the 64-degree record, also set in 2017.
With some clouds to start the workweek, high temperatures are forecast to remain around 20 degrees above the upper-forty-degree average, perhaps reaching the mid-seventies again around midweek ahead of a possible cold front around Thursday.
So enjoy our misplaced summery weather this weekend, and I’ll have more details about the following workweek in my next regularly scheduled weather narrative on Sunday afternoon.
Temperatures to warm to record levels by the end of the workweek
Sunday, March 15, 2026
A breezy winter day is over Steamboat Springs this Ides of March Sunday, with early-afternoon temperatures only 24 degrees in town, well below the 45-degree average, and 4 degrees at the top of the Steamboat Ski Resort. After no snow fell with the cold front last night, which brought plenty of wind, light snowfall chances will start a warming workweek with record-high temperatures, likely in the seventies(!), starting Thursday and lasting into the weekend.
Weather forecasting is humbling if nothing else, and I’ve had a rough week, highlighted by 4” of snow Tuesday night, which was not well-forecast, followed by no snow last night, when snow was forecast. We were oh-so-close as a line of snow showers produced 7” of snow at Loveland, and 6” at Winter Park and Eldora, but last night’s cold front brought only cold and plenty of wind to our area, with moutain-top gusts reaching 84 mph just after midnight, and gusts in the fifties during the day Saturday.
The winter weather is courtesy of strong, northwest flow over the Rockies as air travels over the top of a ridge of high pressure over the eastern Pacific towards a trough of low pressure extending southward from central Canada across the Midwest. The ridge is downstream of a deep trough of low pressure extending southward from the Gulf of Alaska to the Dateline northwest of Hawaii, directing Pineapple Express moisture toward the Pacific Northwest.
Even though the ridge of high pressure will be forced eastward by energy ejecting out of the Dateline trough, a couple of pockets of moisture in the northwest flow will carry precipitation chances over our area during the day Monday, and again Monday night. Though moist, northwest flow is favorable for precipitation in north-central Colorado, warming temperatures are not, so at the risk of another busted forecast, we could see 1-4” of snowfall at mid-mountain during the day Monday and another 1-4” overnight.
Though high temperatures are forecast to rise to the low forties in town on Monday, snow levels stay below 7,000′ until late in the day, allowing for the chance of snow showers in town during the day, changing to rain showers overnight.
Clouds will decrease during the day on Tuesday as the ridge crosses the West Coast and begins moving across the Great Basin, allowing high temperatures to jump into the upper-fifties. Mostly sunny skies for the rest of the workweek will allow high temperatures to continue climbing, reaching the mid-to-upper sixties by Wednesday, below the record-high of 70 degrees set in 2017.
But the record-high temperatures of 64 degrees on both Thursday and Friday, set in 2017, will likely fall as forecasts call for around 70 degrees on Thursday, and a bit warmer on Friday, representative of late-May and early-June temperatures. The seventy-degree stretch of weather is forecast to start the weekend, likely breaking the 65-degree Saturday record set in 2003.
So enjoy the coming springlike weather, while hoping for snow to start the workweek, and I’ll have more details about the weekend in my next regularly scheduled weather narrative on Thursday afternoon.
More snow Saturday night behind warm and windy weather
Thursday, March 12, 2026
Mostly cloudy skies and breezy winds are over Steamboat Springs with temperatures in the low fifties in town and at freezing near the top of the Steamboat Ski Resort early this Thursday afternoon. More warm weather through Saturday precedes increasingly windy conditions ahead of another quick-moving cold front that will bring much colder temperatures and accumulating snow by Sunday morning.
Strong ridging off the southern California coast and a deep downstream trough over the eastern North America leaves moderately fast northwest flow from the Pacific Northwest to the central Rockies and Plains. Spotty moisture in the stable and warm flow will allow for sunnier skies on Friday before mostly cloudy weather returns for Saturday. But winds will only increase with gusts as high as 60 mph on Friday, followed by 70-80 mph gusts by Saturday afternoon, possibly affecting lift operations.
Similar to Tuesday night, when 3.5” of snow fell at mid-mountain, and 4” up top, accompanied by a 3-degree temperature and 20 mph winds, an eddy of low pressure northwest of Hawaii will encourage a slug of Pineapple Express moisture to move northeastward and be ingested into a wave of cold air moving across the Gulf of Alaska.
The snow on Tuesday night was not well forecast, even by the shortest-range models, with the Gulf of Alaska energy and moisture moving further south than expected, leading to a colder and snowier outcome than forecast. There is a chance the same thing occurs again on Saturday night, with a possible 4-8” of snow falling at mid-mountain by Sunday morning, with quite cold mountain-top temperatures starting in the single digits and highs in town around freezing, well below our average of 45 F, for a change.
Snow showers will continue on the cold Sunday in the favorable cold, moist, breezy, and unstable northwest flow behind the storm, with another 1-4” at mid-mountain possible.
High temperatures rebound on Monday toward average, with continued breezes from the northwest as a ridge of high pressure moves across the West. There may be additional precipitation chances early in the workweek as more moisture moves through northwest flow, though the warm and stable conditions will likely limit accumulations.
Hopefully, Saturday afternoon lift impacts will be minimal due to the strong and gusty winds from the west. Enjoy the return of winter for Sunday, and I’ll have more details on a warming workweek in my next regularly scheduled weather narrative on Sunday afternoon.
